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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 231155
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite images, reconnaissance data and surface observations
indicate that the remmants of Harvey are close to redeveloping into
a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico about 150
miles west of Merida, Mexico. Advisories will likely be re-initiated
at 10 am CDT on this system. The low is forecast to move to the
northwest at about 10 mph across the western Gulf of Mexico,
possibly reaching the northwestern Gulf coast late Friday. This
system is likely to slow down once it reaches the coast, increasing
the threat of a prolonged period of heavy rainfall and flooding
across portions of Texas and Louisiana into early next week. Harvey
could also produce storm surge and tropical storm or hurricane force
winds along portions of the Texas coast later this week, and
Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watches could be required later today
for portions of the coast of northeastern Mexico, Texas, and
southwestern Louisiana. Interests in these areas should monitor the
progress of this system and refer to products issued by your local
National Weather Service office for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms stretching across
the Bahamas, southern Florida, and the adjacent waters is associated
with a trough of low pressure. Any development of this system
during the next few days should be slow to occur while it drifts
northward over Florida and the adjacent waters. Environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for tropical or
subtropical development over the weekend when the system begins to
move northeastward over the western Atlantic. Regardless of
development, very heavy rain and flooding is possible over portions
of the Florida peninsula during the next few days. Please refer to
products from your local National Weather Service office for more
information on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Summary for Tropical Depression Harvey (AT4/AL092017)

...HARVEY REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST...
 As of 10:00 AM CDT Wed Aug 23
 the center of Harvey was located near 21.5, -92.5
 with movement NW at 9 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression Harvey Public Advisory Number 12

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017  

000
WTNT34 KNHC 231448
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Harvey Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
1000 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

...HARVEY REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
TEXAS COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 92.5W
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM SSE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM SE OF PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the coast of Texas from
Port Mansfield to High Island.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the coast of Texas from north
of Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the coast of Texas from
the Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield and from north of
San Luis Pass to High Island.

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
coast of Mexico from Boca De Catan to the Mouth of the Rio Grande.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Port Mansfield to High Island

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Boca De Catan Mexico to Port Mansfield Texas
* North of San Luis Pass to High Island

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in southwestern Louisiana should monitor the progress of
this system for possible watches this afternoon.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Harvey
was located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 92.5 West.  The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and
a track toward the northwest or north-northwest is expected for the
next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, Harvey should be approaching
the Texas coast late Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Harvey
could become a hurricane on Friday.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft recently reported a
minimum central pressure of 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
10 to 15 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches over the
middle and upper Texas coast and southwest Louisiana through next
Tuesday, with heavy rainfall beginning as early as Friday morning.
Harvey is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to
9 inches in portions of south, central, and northeast Texas and the
rest of the lower Mississippi Valley. Rainfall from Harvey could
cause life-threatening flooding.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide
will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water is expected to
reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at
the time of high tide...

Port Mansfield to High Island...4 to 6 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the northeast of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.  Surge-related
flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal
cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area by late Friday, with tropical storm conditions possible by
early Friday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Harvey are likely to affect the Texas,
Louisiana, and northeast Mexico coasts by Friday.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Tropical Depression Harvey Forecast Advisory Number 12

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017  

000
WTNT24 KNHC 231448
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
PORT MANSFIELD TO HIGH ISLAND.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM NORTH
OF PORT MANSFIELD TO SAN LUIS PASS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT MANSFIELD AND FROM NORTH OF
SAN LUIS PASS TO HIGH ISLAND.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF MEXICO FROM BOCA DE CATAN TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT MANSFIELD TO HIGH ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO SAN LUIS PASS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOCA DE CATAN MEXICO TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS
* NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS TO HIGH ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILILTY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  92.5W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  92.5W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  92.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.3N  93.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.8N  93.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 25.2N  94.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.7N  96.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.0N  97.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 29.8N  96.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 30.0N  95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  92.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


Tropical Depression Harvey Forecast Discussion Number 12

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017  

000
WTNT44 KNHC 231450
TCDAT4

Tropical Depression Harvey Discussion Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
1000 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter data indicate that Harvey has
regenerated in the Bay of Campeche, with a closed circulation
noted and a central pressure of about 1006 mb.  The initial wind
speed is 30 kt based on SFMR data from the aircraft.

Harvey is not well organized at the moment, with an asymmetric cloud
pattern and a large radius of maximum wind.  The environment,
however, is conducive for intensification while Harvey moves over
the very warm Gulf of Mexico waters in light-to-moderate shear.  The
biggest hindrance to intensification in the short term is the poor
structure.  Thus the NHC forecast will only show a gradual increase
in wind speed during the first day, with a more significant
intensification after that time.  Although not explicitly forecast
below, we are anticipating Harvey being a hurricane at landfall
after the 48 hour forecast point.  This forecast agrees well with
the guidance, almost all of which shows a quickly intensifying
cyclone approaching the Texas coast.

Since the center has just recently formed, the initial motion is
difficult to estimate, but the long-term motion is 310/8.  Harvey is
expected to move more slowly toward the northwest or north-
northwest as it enters a weakness in the Atlantic subtropical ridge
during the next day or so.  The ridge slightly strengthens by late
Thursday, which should cause a faster northwestward motion by then.
Around the time of landfall, however, Harvey should enter an area of
weaker steering currents near the upper Texas coast as high pressure
rebuilds over the southwestern United States.  The storm should slow
down markedly over southeast Texas, and there is considerable
uncertainty on exactly how fast Harvey moves out of that state ahead
of the next mid-latitude trough.  For now the NHC forecast will just
drift Harvey generally toward the east at days 4 and 5, on
the slow side of the model consensus. Hopefully later G-IV flights
and special soundings over the southern United States will help
clarify the long range forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Harvey is likely to bring multiple hazards to portions of the
Texas coast beginning on Friday.

2. Several days of heavy rainfall are likely across portions of
eastern Texas, Louisiana, and the lower Mississippi Valley from
Friday through early next week. This rainfall could cause life-
threatening flooding. Please refer to products from your local
National Weather Service office (www.weather.gov) and the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center (www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov) for more
information on the flooding hazard.

3. The National Weather Service has issued a Storm Surge Watch
from Port Mansfield to High Island, Texas. There is the possibility
of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from
the coastline during the next 48 hours in these areas. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

4. The Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map will also be available on
the NHC website by 1200 PM CDT. Remember that the Potential Storm
Surge Flooding Map does not represent a forecast of expected
inundation, but rather depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario -
the amount of inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being
exceeded at each individual location. Because the Flooding Map is
based on inputs that extend out only to about 72 hours, it best
represents the flooding potential in those locations within the
watch area.

5. Hurricane conditions are possible along the Texas coast from
Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/1500Z 21.5N  92.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  24/0000Z 22.3N  93.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  24/1200Z 23.8N  93.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  25/0000Z 25.2N  94.9W   50 KT  60 MPH
 48H  25/1200Z 26.7N  96.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
 72H  26/1200Z 29.0N  97.3W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND
 96H  27/1200Z 29.8N  96.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
120H  28/1200Z 30.0N  95.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND

$$
Forecaster Blake

Tropical Depression Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017


000
FONT14 KNHC 231449
PWSAT4
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   6( 9)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   7(11)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   7(17)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   8(14)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   9(17)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   7(15)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   9(19)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)  10(20)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  10(18)   4(22)   4(26)   7(33)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   4( 8)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)   8(20)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   5(17)   9(26)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   7(15)   5(20)   9(29)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   4(16)   7(23)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  11(18)   5(23)   6(29)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   9(18)   5(23)   7(30)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)  16(32)   4(36)   5(41)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  16(28)   5(33)   6(39)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)   9(28)   3(31)
AUSTIN TX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)   7(27)   3(30)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  19(22)  19(41)   3(44)   5(49)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   2(14)
FREEPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  31(41)  11(52)   1(53)   3(56)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   6(15)   2(17)   2(19)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  13(25)   4(29)   6(35)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  25(29)  21(50)   2(52)   3(55)
MATAGORDA TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)   3(18)   1(19)
MATAGORDA TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  30(34)  20(54)   3(57)   2(59)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)   1(21)   2(23)
PORT O CONNOR  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  31(35)  21(56)   2(58)   3(61)
ROCKPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)   2(22)   1(23)
ROCKPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  26(30)  20(50)   3(53)   2(55)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   1(17)   1(18)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   1( 1)  17(18)  44(62)   9(71)   1(72)   2(74)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   8(30)   1(31)   1(32)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
MCALLEN TX     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  19(23)   8(31)   3(34)   1(35)
MCALLEN TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
MCALLEN TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
HARLINGEN TX   34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  27(34)   8(42)   3(45)   2(47)
HARLINGEN TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)
HARLINGEN TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  27(37)   7(44)   2(46)   2(48)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   1(13)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   3( 3)  35(38)  13(51)   2(53)   1(54)   2(56)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)  10(17)   X(17)   1(18)   X(18)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LA PESCA MX    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    

Tropical Depression Harvey Graphics


Tropical Depression Harvey 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 23 Aug 2017 15:29:33 GMT

Tropical Depression Harvey 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 23 Aug 2017 15:29:33 GMT

Tropical Depression Harvey Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics


Tropical Depression Harvey Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics Image
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Wed, 23 Aug 2017 15:15:48 GMT

Tropical Depression Harvey Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map


Tropical Depression Harvey Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Wed, 23 Aug 2017 15:41:22 GMT

Tropical Depression Harvey Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map


Tropical Depression Harvey Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Wed, 23 Aug 2017 15:00:01 GMT

Local Statement for Houston / Galveston, TX

Issued at 1024 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017


Local Statement for Corpus Christi, TX

Issued at 1029 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017


Local Statement for Austin / San Antonio, TX

Issued at 1049 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017


Local Statement for Brownsville, TX

Issued at 1154 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017