Extended Forecasts from Carolina StormWatch

Compare NWS vs WxSIM Forecasts Being Withing 2 Degrees

NWS Forecasts

Overnight

Overnight: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers

Lo 64 °F
Monday

Monday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms then Showers And T-Storms Likely

Hi 79 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms

Lo 66 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Hi 78 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 52 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 67 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 46 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 65 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 49 °F

WxSim Forecasts

Today

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 81°
Tonight

Rain likely
Rain likely
Low: 66°
Tuesday

Rain likely
Rain likely
High: 77°
Tuesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 49°
Wednesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 67°
Wednesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 45°
Thursday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 69°
Thursday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 45°
Friday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 72°


WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

4AM Forecasts
Updated: October 23, 2017 at 4:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 23, 2017 64   81 79   66 66   77 78   49 52   67 67   45 46   69 65   45
October 22, 2017 58 81.7 °F 84 80 65.7°F 65 65   81 78   65 68   79 78   52 52   67 66   48
October 22, 2017 58 81.4 °F 84 80 59.3°F 65 65 81.7 °F 81 78 65.7°F 65 68   79 78   52 52   67 66   48
October 21, 2017 54 81.4 °F 82 78 59.3°F 58 60 81.4 °F 82 80 59.3°F 60 62 81.7 °F 78 81 65.7°F 66 68   76 76   51
October 20, 2017 53 77.4 °F 84 80 51.8°F 54 54 81.4 °F 83 80 59.3°F 59 60 81.4 °F 86 80 59.3°F 64 67 81.7 °F 84 79 65.7°F 66
October 19, 2017 73 79.0 °F 51 54 53.5°F 80 77 77.4 °F 50 53 51.8°F 81 78 81.4 °F 52 54 59.3°F 81 79 81.4 °F 58 62 59.3°F 84
October 18, 2017 47 54.4°F 75 73 73.3 °F 51 54 79.0 °F 79 77 53.5°F 50 53 77.4 °F 80 78 51.8°F 53 54 81.4 °F 81 79 59.3°F 59
October 17, 2017 50 63.7 °F 71 69 47.3°F 47 47 54.4°F 74 72 73.3 °F 51 54 79.0 °F 79 77 53.5°F 50 53 77.4 °F 80 77 51.8°F 54
October 16, 2017 67 84.5 °F 84 73 54.1°F 48 49 63.7 °F 69 68 47.3°F 45 48 54.4°F 74 72 73.3 °F 49 52 79.0 °F 79 76 53.5°F 50
October 15, 2017 62 82.0 °F 84 81 64.7°F 65 67 84.5 °F 83 75 54.1°F 49 50 63.7 °F 70 70 47.3°F 47 48 54.4°F 75 73 73.3 °F 52
October 14, 2017 64 72.0 °F 85 80 67.0°F 62 65 82.0 °F 85 84 64.7°F 66 67 84.5 °F 82 78 54.1°F 51 53 63.7 °F 70 71 47.3°F 47
October 13, 2017 71 77.6 °F 84 81 62.3°F 62 67 72.0 °F 80 81 67.0°F 62 67 82.0 °F 85 83 64.7°F 64 68 84.5 °F 79 81 54.1°F 48
October 12, 2017 85 87.9 °F 89 74 71.4°F 69 82 77.6 °F 84 70 62.3°F 62 81 72.0 °F 86 69 67.0°F 65 81 82.0 °F 87 67 64.7°F 67
October 11, 2017 75 86.0 °F 89 85 71.2°F 71 74 87.9 °F 89 82 71.4°F 68 70 77.6 °F 83 81 62.3°F 64 69 72.0 °F 84 81 67.0°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 4 2 6 1 6 2 5 0 1 2 6 1 2 1 4
% Succ     30.8 15.4   46.2 8.3   50.0 16.7   41.7     9.1 18.2   54.5 10.0   20.0 10.0   40.0
Ave Error 14.8   7.2 14.4   5.6 14.2   6.3 14.4   6.2 14.8   8.3 16.2   5.8 13.4   7.8 15.1   6.3
Net Error -14.8   2.8 14.4   -0.3 -13.5   1.3 14.2   -1.0 -13.2   1.8 15.0   -0.4 -13.4   2.0 15.0   -0.4
Std Dev 9.0   8.3 9.1   8.3 9.5   8.5 9.3   9.2 10.1   9.3 11.3   8.5 11.8   9.1 12.1   9.0

6AM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 80   84 65   65 78   82 68   65 78   79 52   52 66   67 46   47
October 21, 2017 78 81.4 °F 82 60 59.3°F 58 80   82 62   60 81   78 68   66 76   76 55   51
October 20, 2017 80 77.4 °F 84 54 50.5°F 54 80 81.4 °F 83 60 59.3°F 59 80   86 67   64 79   84 65   66
October 19, 2017 73 79.0 °F 51 54 51.7°F 80 77 77.4 °F 50 53 50.5°F 81 78 81.4 °F 52 54 59.3°F 81 79   58 62   84
October 18, 2017 73 54.4°F 75 54 73.3 °F 51 77 79.0 °F 80 53 51.7°F 50 78 77.4 °F 80 54 50.5°F 53 79 81.4 °F 81 62 59.3°F 59
October 17, 2017 69 63.7 °F 71 47 47.3°F 46 72 54.4°F 75 54 73.3 °F 51 77 79.0 °F 79 53 51.7°F 50 77 77.4 °F 79 56 50.5°F 54
October 16, 2017 73 84.5 °F 86 49 52.3°F 51 68 63.7 °F 70 48 47.3°F 45 72 54.4°F 74 52 73.3 °F 49 76 79.0 °F 79 56 51.7°F 50
October 15, 2017 81 82.0 °F 85 67 64.7°F 65 75 84.5 °F 83 50 52.3°F 49 70 63.7 °F 71 48 47.3°F 47 73 54.4°F 75 57 73.3 °F 52
October 14, 2017 80 72.0 °F 86 65 67.0°F 62 84 82.0 °F 85 67 64.7°F 66 78 84.5 °F 82 53 52.3°F 51 71 63.7 °F 70 54 47.3°F 47
October 13, 2017 81 77.6 °F 85 67 62.2°F 62 81 72.0 °F 79 67 67.0°F 63 83 82.0 °F 84 68 64.7°F 66 81 84.5 °F 77 57 52.3°F 49
October 12, 2017 85 87.9 °F 89 74 70.4°F 69 82 77.6 °F 83 70 62.2°F 62 81 72.0 °F 86 69 67.0°F 65 81 82.0 °F 86 67 64.7°F 67
October 11, 2017 85 86.0 °F 88 74 70.3°F 70 82 87.9 °F 88 70 70.4°F 68 81 77.6 °F 83 69 62.2°F 63 81 72.0 °F 84 67 67.0°F 65
October 10, 2017 84 82.2 °F 88 77 73.8°F 74 83 86.0 °F 88 71 70.3°F 69 83 87.9 °F 88 69 70.4°F 69 81 77.6 °F 86 67 62.2°F 66
October 09, 2017 83 84.4 °F 82 77 74.2°F 73 83 82.2 °F 83 72 73.8°F 73 84 86.0 °F 86 70 70.3°F 69 82 87.9 °F 88 66 70.4°F 69
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 4 3 9 5 6 7 6 4 4 6 8 2 4 1 5
% Succ 30.8   30.8 23.1   69.2 41.7   50.0 58.3   50.0 36.4   36.4 54.5   72.7 20.0   40.0 10.0   50.0
Ave Error 5.1   7.7 4.0   5.1 5.0   6.4 3.3   5.9 5.2   7.5 4.2   5.3 5.5   6.1 5.2   4.0
Net Error 1.0   3.0 0.2   -0.2 1.3   1.6 -0.7   -0.6 1.7   1.7 -0.9   -0.5 2.2   4.5 1.0   -2.1
Std Dev 5.0   8.2 4.7   8.8 5.0   8.4 5.3   9.5 5.3   9.4 5.9   8.5 5.8   6.7 4.9   6.3

8AM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 80   84 65   64 78   81 68   68 78   80 52   51 66   65 46   45
October 21, 2017 78 81.4 °F 81 60 59.3°F 56 80   83 62   63 81   79 68   64 76   77 55   49
October 20, 2017 80 77.4 °F 82 54 50.0°F 54 80 81.4 °F 83 60 59.3°F 59 80   85 67   63 79   84 65   67
October 19, 2017 73 79.0 °F 51 54 50.8°F 80 77 77.4 °F 50 53 50.0°F 81 78 81.4 °F 52 54 59.3°F 81 79   58 62   84
October 18, 2017 73 54.4°F 75 54 73.3 °F 50 77 79.0 °F 79 53 50.8°F 49 78 77.4 °F 80 54 50.0°F 53 79 81.4 °F 81 62 59.3°F 59
October 17, 2017 69 63.7 °F 71 47 47.3°F 46 72 54.4°F 75 54 73.3 °F 51 77 79.0 °F 79 53 50.8°F 50 77 77.4 °F 80 56 50.0°F 53
October 16, 2017 73 84.5 °F 85 49 51.6°F 51 68 63.7 °F 70 48 47.3°F 47 72 54.4°F 74 52 73.3 °F 52 76 79.0 °F 79 56 50.8°F 50
October 15, 2017 81 82.0 °F 86 67 64.7°F 65 75 84.5 °F 84 50 51.6°F 51 70 63.7 °F 71 48 47.3°F 47 73 54.4°F 74 57 73.3 °F 51
October 14, 2017 80 72.0 °F 86 65 67.0°F 61 84 82.0 °F 84 67 64.7°F 64 78 84.5 °F 76 53 51.6°F 49 71 63.7 °F 70 54 47.3°F 48
October 13, 2017 81 77.6 °F 84 67 62.2°F 61 81 72.0 °F 78 67 67.0°F 62 83 82.0 °F 85 68 64.7°F 65 81 84.5 °F 82 57 51.6°F 47
October 12, 2017 84 87.9 °F 88 71 70.1°F 68 81 77.6 °F 78 68 62.2°F 65 82 72.0 °F 81 68 67.0°F 65 83 82.0 °F 87 68 64.7°F 67
October 10, 2017 84 86.0 °F 89 77 70.0°F 74 83 87.9 °F 88 71 70.1°F 69 83 77.6 °F 89 69 62.2°F 69 81 72.0 °F 84 67 67.0°F 67
October 09, 2017 83 84.4 °F 84 77 74.2°F 73 83 86.0 °F 84 72 70.0°F 72 84 87.9 °F 85 70 70.1°F 69 82 77.6 °F 87 66 62.2°F 68
October 08, 2017 82 86.0 °F 83 75 77.3°F 77 83 84.4 °F 84 73 74.2°F 73 85 86.0 °F 86 72 70.0°F 72 83 87.9 °F 86 66 70.1°F 69
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 4 4 6 5 8 7 8 4 2 5 6 2 3 1 5
% Succ 23.1   30.8 30.8   46.2 41.7   66.7 58.3   66.7 36.4   18.2 45.5   54.5 20.0   30.0 10.0   50.0
Ave Error 5.5   7.1 4.0   5.9 4.9   5.6 3.3   5.8 5.2   8.5 4.4   5.6 5.5   6.0 5.4   4.1
Net Error 0.4   2.2 -0.1   -0.1 1.1   0.6 -0.4   0.2 2.2   1.1 -0.5   0.5 2.6   5.0 1.3   -1.7
Std Dev 4.9   8.5 4.8   8.9 5.0   8.7 5.2   9.7 5.3   9.1 5.9   8.0 5.8   6.5 4.9   6.6

10AM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 10:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 80   85 65   66 78   82 68   68 78   81 52   52 66   66 46   45
October 21, 2017 80 81.4 °F 83 59 59.3°F 59 80   84 62   64 81   79 68   65 76   78 55   50
October 20, 2017 80 77.4 °F 83 54 50.0°F 53 80 81.4 °F 84 60 59.3°F 59 80   84 67   60 79   85 65   68
October 19, 2017 78 79.0 °F 83 53 50.7°F 52 80 77.4 °F 82 54 50.0°F 52 80 81.4 °F 82 62 59.3°F 58 80   84 65   65
October 18, 2017 73 73.3 °F 76 54 54.3°F 51 77 79.0 °F 79 53 50.7°F 50 78 77.4 °F 80 54 50.0°F 53 79 81.4 °F 81 62 59.3°F 59
October 17, 2017 69 63.7 °F 69 47 47.3°F 45 73 73.3 °F 74 54 54.3°F 50 77 79.0 °F 79 53 50.7°F 50 77 77.4 °F 80 56 50.0°F 53
October 16, 2017 73 84.5 °F 83 49 51.6°F 51 68 63.7 °F 70 48 47.3°F 47 72 73.3 °F 74 52 54.3°F 52 76 79.0 °F 79 56 50.7°F 50
October 15, 2017 81 82.0 °F 85 67 64.7°F 65 75 84.5 °F 84 50 51.6°F 52 70 63.7 °F 71 48 47.3°F 47 73 73.3 °F 74 57 54.3°F 51
October 13, 2017 81 72.0 °F 84 67 67.0°F 61 81 82.0 °F 78 67 64.7°F 62 83 84.5 °F 85 68 51.6°F 65 81 63.7 °F 82 57 47.3°F 47
October 12, 2017 84 87.9 °F 86 71 70.1°F 68 81 72.0 °F 78 68 67.0°F 65 82 82.0 °F 81 68 64.7°F 65 83 84.5 °F 87 68 51.6°F 66
October 11, 2017 85 86.0 °F 88 74 70.0°F 69 82 87.9 °F 88 70 70.1°F 67 81 72.0 °F 83 69 67.0°F 65 81 82.0 °F 80 67 64.7°F 66
October 10, 2017 84 82.2 °F 89 77 73.4°F 73 83 86.0 °F 88 71 70.0°F 70 83 87.9 °F 88 69 70.1°F 69 81 72.0 °F 84 67 67.0°F 67
October 09, 2017 83 84.4 °F 84 77 74.2°F 73 83 82.2 °F 85 72 73.4°F 73 84 86.0 °F 85 70 70.0°F 69 82 87.9 °F 87 66 70.1°F 68
October 08, 2017 82 86.0 °F 86 75 77.3°F 77 83 84.4 °F 84 73 74.2°F 73 85 82.2 °F 86 72 73.4°F 72 83 86.0 °F 87 66 70.0°F 69
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 6 5 8 6 6 9 9 7 7 5 8 4 6 1 6
% Succ 53.8   46.2 38.5   61.5 50.0   50.0 75.0   75.0 63.6   63.6 45.5   72.7 40.0   60.0 10.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.4   3.6 2.0   1.7 3.4   2.5 1.4   1.5 2.9   2.6 3.3   2.4 4.4   4.0 5.3   2.6
Net Error -0.5   3.0 1.1   -1.0 -0.7   1.7 0.6   -1.1 0.5   2.2 2.4   0.6 0.9   3.4 3.7   1.1
Std Dev 3.4   3.1 1.5   1.6 3.2   2.3 1.2   1.4 2.9   3.5 4.4   3.7 5.4   5.6 5.2   4.3

12PM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 12:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 80   84 65   63 78   80 68   67 78   80 52   51 66   65 46   44
October 21, 2017 80 81.4 °F 83 59 59.3°F 57 80   83 62   65 81   78 68   65 76   77 55   49
October 20, 2017 80 77.4 °F 82 54 50.0°F 52 80 81.4 °F 83 60 59.3°F 58 80   83 67   59 79   84 65   68
October 19, 2017 78 79.0 °F 83 53 50.7°F 52 80 77.4 °F 82 54 50.0°F 52 80 81.4 °F 82 62 59.3°F 58 80   84 65   65
October 17, 2017 69 73.3 °F 67 47 54.3°F 44 73 79.0 °F 74 54 50.7°F 51 77 77.4 °F 79 53 50.0°F 50 77 81.4 °F 80 56 59.3°F 53
October 16, 2017 78 84.5 °F 85 50 51.6°F 50 68 73.3 °F 69 48 54.3°F 47 72 79.0 °F 74 52 50.7°F 51 76 77.4 °F 78 56 50.0°F 50
October 15, 2017 81 82.0 °F 84 67 64.8°F 64 75 84.5 °F 82 50 51.6°F 50 70 73.3 °F 70 48 54.3°F 48 73 79.0 °F 75 57 50.7°F 52
October 14, 2017 77 72.0 °F 80 65 67.0°F 60 84 82.0 °F 84 67 64.8°F 64 78 84.5 °F 76 53 51.6°F 50 71 73.3 °F 70 54 54.3°F 48
October 13, 2017 78 77.6 °F 84 67 62.2°F 61 81 72.0 °F 78 67 67.0°F 62 83 82.0 °F 85 68 64.8°F 65 81 84.5 °F 82 57 51.6°F 47
October 12, 2017 84 87.9 °F 88 71 70.1°F 68 81 77.6 °F 79 68 62.2°F 65 82 72.0 °F 81 68 67.0°F 65 83 82.0 °F 87 68 64.8°F 66
October 11, 2017 85 86.0 °F 86 74 70.0°F 67 82 87.9 °F 87 70 70.1°F 67 81 77.6 °F 83 69 62.2°F 65 81 72.0 °F 80 67 67.0°F 66
October 10, 2017 84 82.2 °F 85 77 73.4°F 71 83 86.0 °F 87 71 70.0°F 69 83 87.9 °F 88 69 70.1°F 68 81 77.6 °F 84 67 62.2°F 66
October 09, 2017 83 84.4 °F 85 77 74.2°F 71 83 82.2 °F 84 72 73.4°F 72 84 86.0 °F 84 70 70.0°F 69 82 87.9 °F 87 66 70.1°F 68
October 08, 2017 82 86.0 °F 86 75 77.3°F 75 83 84.4 °F 83 73 74.2°F 73 85 82.2 °F 86 72 73.4°F 72 83 86.0 °F 87 66 70.0°F 70
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 7 4 5 4 7 7 8 4 4 6 8 2 4 2 5
% Succ 53.8   53.8 30.8   38.5 33.3   58.3 58.3   66.7 36.4   36.4 54.5   72.7 20.0   40.0 20.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.6   2.8 2.9   3.0 4.2   2.7 2.3   2.3 3.9   3.8 2.6   1.7 4.0   3.3 3.7   2.7
Net Error -1.1   1.9 0.9   -2.5 -1.2   0.4 0.5   -1.5 -0.8   0.4 1.0   -1.1 -1.3   0.9 1.4   -1.4
Std Dev 1.9   2.7 1.9   2.7 3.0   2.0 2.2   2.1 3.4   3.2 2.3   1.9 2.9   2.4 2.9   2.6

2PM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 80   83 65   64 78   80 68   68 78   78 52   49 66   65 46   45
October 21, 2017 80 81.4 °F 83 59 59.3°F 59 80   83 62   65 81   77 68   66 76   78 55   52
October 20, 2017 80 77.4 °F 80 54 50.0°F 52 80 81.4 °F 83 60 59.3°F 57 80   83 67   59 79   83 65   67
October 19, 2017 78 79.0 °F 83 53 50.7°F 53 80 77.4 °F 82 54 50.0°F 52 80 81.4 °F 82 62 59.3°F 58 80   84 65   65
October 18, 2017 73 73.3 °F 76 54 54.3°F 51 77 79.0 °F 79 53 50.7°F 50 78 77.4 °F 80 54 50.0°F 53 79 81.4 °F 81 62 59.3°F 59
October 18, 2017 73 63.7 °F 76 54 47.3°F 51 77 73.3 °F 79 53 54.3°F 50 78 79.0 °F 80 54 50.7°F 53 79 77.4 °F 81 62 50.0°F 59
October 17, 2017 64 63.7 °F 63 47 47.3°F 44 73 63.7 °F 74 54 47.3°F 50 77 73.3 °F 79 53 54.3°F 48 77 79.0 °F 80 56 50.7°F 53
October 16, 2017 82 84.5 °F 86 50 51.6°F 50 68 63.7 °F 70 48 47.3°F 47 72 63.7 °F 75 52 47.3°F 52 76 73.3 °F 79 56 54.3°F 51
October 15, 2017 81 82.0 °F 83 67 64.8°F 64 75 84.5 °F 83 50 51.6°F 49 70 63.7 °F 69 48 47.3°F 47 73 63.7 °F 75 57 47.3°F 52
October 14, 2017 74 72.0 °F 78 65 67.0°F 60 84 82.0 °F 84 67 64.8°F 64 78 84.5 °F 82 53 51.6°F 49 71 63.7 °F 70 54 47.3°F 48
October 13, 2017 78 77.6 °F 82 67 62.2°F 58 81 72.0 °F 84 67 67.0°F 61 83 82.0 °F 85 68 64.8°F 64 81 84.5 °F 79 57 51.6°F 48
October 12, 2017 84 87.9 °F 88 71 70.2°F 68 81 77.6 °F 80 68 62.2°F 63 82 72.0 °F 78 68 67.0°F 63 83 82.0 °F 86 68 64.8°F 67
October 11, 2017 85 86.0 °F 85 74 70.0°F 69 82 87.9 °F 87 70 70.2°F 68 81 77.6 °F 83 69 62.2°F 65 81 72.0 °F 81 67 67.0°F 67
October 10, 2017 84 82.2 °F 80 77 73.4°F 73 83 86.0 °F 85 71 70.0°F 71 83 87.9 °F 87 69 70.2°F 70 81 77.6 °F 83 67 62.2°F 67
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 6 6 6 3 6 7 6 4 3 5 4 3 2 2 3
% Succ 69.2   46.2 46.2   46.2 25.0   50.0 58.3   50.0 36.4   27.3 45.5   36.4 30.0   20.0 20.0   30.0
Ave Error 2.1   3.1 2.5   2.5 4.7   4.0 2.2   2.1 4.3   4.0 2.8   2.6 4.2   5.2 5.2   3.1
Net Error 0.4   2.5 1.8   -1.2 1.0   3.5 1.7   -1.1 1.8   3.4 2.3   -0.2 2.6   4.0 5.2   1.7
Std Dev 2.4   3.2 2.0   1.8 3.4   3.9 2.2   1.8 3.4   3.5 1.8   2.1 3.5   4.4 4.4   3.0

4PM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 4:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 80   61 64   79 80   68 66   78 77   49 52   65 66   44 46   66
October 21, 2017 80 59.3°F 58 58 81.4 °F 83 80   65 62   77 81   66 67   78 76   52 53   64
October 21, 2017 80 50.0°F 58 58 77.4 °F 83 80 59.3°F 65 62 81.4 °F 77 81   66 67   78 76   52 53   64
October 20, 2017 80 50.0°F 52 54 77.4 °F 83 79 50.0°F 57 59 77.4 °F 83 81 59.3°F 59 64 81.4 °F 83 80   67 67   74
October 19, 2017 78 50.7°F 82 53 79.0 °F 52 80 50.0°F 82 54 77.4 °F 52 79 50.0°F 82 61 77.4 °F 58 79 59.3°F 84 65 81.4 °F 63
October 18, 2017 73 73.3 °F 76 54 54.3°F 51 77 50.7°F 79 53 79.0 °F 50 78 50.0°F 80 54 77.4 °F 53 79 50.0°F 81 62 77.4 °F 59
October 17, 2017 64 63.7 °F 44 47 47.3°F 73 73 73.3 °F 50 55 54.3°F 78 76 50.7°F 49 54 79.0 °F 80 77 50.0°F 53 56 77.4 °F 81
October 16, 2017 82 51.6°F 49 51 84.5 °F 69 69 63.7 °F 45 47 47.3°F 75 72 73.3 °F 52 53 54.3°F 79 76 50.7°F 50 54 79.0 °F 80
October 15, 2017 81 64.8°F 65 68 82.0 °F 83 75 51.6°F 49 49 84.5 °F 69 69 63.7 °F 47 46 47.3°F 75 73 73.3 °F 52 56 54.3°F 78
October 14, 2017 73 66.9°F 60 60 72.0 °F 84 82 64.8°F 64 69 82.0 °F 82 71 51.6°F 49 49 84.5 °F 70 70 63.7 °F 48 53 47.3°F 75
October 13, 2017 78 62.2°F 57 65 77.6 °F 83 80 66.9°F 60 67 72.0 °F 85 82 64.8°F 64 66 82.0 °F 79 80 51.6°F 48 55 84.5 °F 69
October 12, 2017 84 70.2°F 68 71 87.9 °F 80 81 62.2°F 63 66 77.6 °F 78 81 66.9°F 64 68 72.0 °F 86 83 64.8°F 68 68 82.0 °F 76
October 11, 2017 85 70.0°F 69 74 86.0 °F 88 82 70.2°F 68 70 87.9 °F 84 81 62.2°F 65 69 77.6 °F 81 81 66.9°F 67 67 72.0 °F 85
October 10, 2017 84 73.4°F 73 74 82.2 °F 86 84 70.0°F 71 72 86.0 °F 87 82 70.2°F 70 70 87.9 °F 83 80 62.2°F 67 67 77.6 °F 84
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 5 2 3 1 3 2 3 1 4 2 2 1 2 1 1
% Succ 15.4   38.5 15.4   23.1 8.3   25.0 16.7   25.0 9.1   36.4 18.2   18.2 10.0   20.0 10.0   10.0
Ave Error 16.7   6.4 15.5   9.0 17.5   10.8 15.4   12.5 17.4   10.1 15.2   12.6 18.6   10.8 14.5   13.4
Net Error 16.6   0.4 -15.5   0.7 17.4   1.7 -15.3   -0.6 17.2   1.7 -15.2   0.6 18.6   2.6 -13.0   1.7
Std Dev 11.1   8.8 10.1   8.6 11.1   11.3 11.7   11.3 12.2   12.3 12.3   11.2 14.5   11.7 11.1   11.5

6PM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 64   63 80   80 66   67 77   77 52   50 66   65 46   45 65   65
October 21, 2017 58 59.3°F 59 80 81.4 °F 83 62   64 81   78 67   66 76   78 53   52 66   64
October 21, 2017 58 50.0°F 59 80 77.4 °F 83 62 59.3°F 64 81 81.4 °F 78 67   66 76   78 53   52 66   64
October 20, 2017 54 50.0°F 52 79 77.4 °F 82 59 50.0°F 57 81 77.4 °F 83 64 59.3°F 60 80 81.4 °F 83 67   67 76   75
October 19, 2017 53 50.7°F 82 80 79.0 °F 52 54 50.0°F 82 79 77.4 °F 52 61 50.0°F 82 79 77.4 °F 58 65 59.3°F 84 79 81.4 °F 63
October 18, 2017 73 73.3 °F 52 54 54.3°F 80 77 50.7°F 50 53 79.0 °F 81 78 50.0°F 53 54 77.4 °F 82 79 50.0°F 59 62 77.4 °F 85
October 17, 2017 47 47.3°F 47 73 63.7 °F 75 55 73.3 °F 52 76 54.3°F 79 54 50.7°F 49 77 79.0 °F 80 56 50.0°F 53 79 77.4 °F 81
October 16, 2017 51 51.6°F 49 69 84.5 °F 70 47 47.3°F 46 72 63.7 °F 75 53 73.3 °F 51 76 54.3°F 79 54 50.7°F 50 77 79.0 °F 80
October 15, 2017 68 61.0°F 65 75 82.0 °F 83 49 51.6°F 49 69 84.5 °F 69 46 47.3°F 47 73 63.7 °F 75 56 73.3 °F 52 76 54.3°F 78
October 14, 2017 60 66.9°F 59 82 72.0 °F 84 69 61.0°F 64 71 82.0 °F 81 49 51.6°F 48 70 84.5 °F 70 53 47.3°F 47 73 63.7 °F 75
October 13, 2017 65 62.2°F 59 80 77.6 °F 84 67 66.9°F 60 82 72.0 °F 85 66 61.0°F 64 80 82.0 °F 79 55 51.6°F 48 71 84.5 °F 69
October 12, 2017 71 70.2°F 68 81 87.9 °F 81 66 62.2°F 64 81 77.6 °F 78 68 66.9°F 64 83 72.0 °F 87 68 61.0°F 67 81 82.0 °F 76
October 11, 2017 74 70.0°F 68 82 86.0 °F 88 70 70.2°F 68 81 87.9 °F 84 69 62.2°F 66 81 77.6 °F 82 67 66.9°F 64 82 72.0 °F 85
October 10, 2017 75 73.4°F 74 84 82.2 °F 86 72 70.0°F 70 82 86.0 °F 86 70 70.2°F 69 80 87.9 °F 82 67 62.2°F 67 81 77.6 °F 84
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 5 5 3 4 4 2 4 3 4 4 2 1 2 3 1
% Succ 46.2   38.5 38.5   23.1 33.3   33.3 16.7   33.3 27.3   36.4 36.4   18.2 10.0   20.0 30.0   10.0
Ave Error 3.1   6.7 4.9   9.4 6.4   7.0 9.4   8.9 7.7   6.8 8.9   9.6 8.2   7.6 8.0   10.7
Net Error 1.6   0.5 -0.5   2.0 2.9   1.1 -1.3   0.6 3.2   1.0 -0.4   1.8 4.8   1.9 1.2   2.7
Std Dev 2.7   9.0 4.5   8.5 7.9   9.4 8.4   9.0 8.9   10.3 8.8   8.7 9.1   9.1 7.8   9.1

8PM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 64   63 80   80 66   67 77   77 52   50 66   65 46   45 65   65
October 21, 2017 58 59.3°F 59 80 81.4 °F 83 62   63 81   80 67   65 76   77 53   52 66   65
October 21, 2017 58 50.0°F 59 80 77.4 °F 83 62 59.3°F 63 81 81.4 °F 80 67   65 76   77 53   52 66   65
October 20, 2017 54 50.0°F 48 79 77.4 °F 83 59 50.0°F 58 81 77.4 °F 83 64 59.3°F 60 80 81.4 °F 84 67   66 76   77
October 19, 2017 54 50.7°F 84 80 79.0 °F 51 54 50.0°F 81 79 77.4 °F 52 61 50.0°F 82 79 77.4 °F 58 65 59.3°F 84 79 81.4 °F 63
October 18, 2017 73 73.3 °F 51 54 54.3°F 80 77 50.7°F 50 53 79.0 °F 81 78 50.0°F 52 54 77.4 °F 82 79 50.0°F 58 62 77.4 °F 84
October 17, 2017 47 47.3°F 43 73 63.7 °F 74 55 73.3 °F 51 76 54.3°F 79 54 50.7°F 51 77 79.0 °F 80 56 50.0°F 54 79 77.4 °F 81
October 16, 2017 51 51.6°F 50 69 84.5 °F 69 47 47.3°F 46 72 63.7 °F 75 53 73.3 °F 52 76 54.3°F 79 54 50.7°F 50 77 79.0 °F 80
October 15, 2017 68 59.5°F 65 75 82.0 °F 85 49 51.6°F 50 69 84.5 °F 69 46 47.3°F 46 73 63.7 °F 75 56 73.3 °F 51 76 54.3°F 78
October 14, 2017 60 66.9°F 60 82 72.0 °F 84 69 59.5°F 64 71 82.0 °F 81 49 51.6°F 48 70 84.5 °F 70 53 47.3°F 47 73 63.7 °F 75
October 13, 2017 65 62.2°F 58 80 77.6 °F 84 67 66.9°F 61 82 72.0 °F 85 66 59.5°F 64 80 82.0 °F 81 55 51.6°F 49 71 84.5 °F 71
October 12, 2017 71 69.5°F 70 81 87.9 °F 85 66 62.2°F 65 81 77.6 °F 79 68 66.9°F 63 83 72.0 °F 86 68 59.5°F 65 81 82.0 °F 77
October 11, 2017 74 70.0°F 70 82 86.0 °F 88 70 69.5°F 68 81 87.9 °F 82 69 62.2°F 65 81 77.6 °F 82 67 66.9°F 65 82 72.0 °F 85
October 10, 2017 75 73.4°F 73 84 82.2 °F 88 72 70.0°F 70 82 86.0 °F 88 70 69.5°F 68 80 87.9 °F 84 67 62.2°F 67 81 77.6 °F 83
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 6 5 2 4 5 2 5 3 5 4 2 1 3 3 1
% Succ 46.2   46.2 38.5   15.4 33.3   41.7 16.7   41.7 27.3   45.5 36.4   18.2 10.0   30.0 30.0   10.0
Ave Error 3.3   6.9 4.9   9.6 6.6   6.9 9.4   9.1 7.8   6.7 8.9   9.2 8.4   7.5 8.0   10.2
Net Error 1.9   0.5 -0.5   2.4 3.1   1.4 -1.3   0.9 3.4   1.0 -0.4   2.2 4.9   1.9 1.2   2.8
Std Dev 2.9   9.6 4.5   8.7 7.9   9.3 8.4   9.0 8.8   10.1 8.8   8.7 9.1   9.2 7.8   9.0

10PM Forecasts
Updated: October 22, 2017 at 10:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
October 22, 2017 65   63 80   79 68   66 78   76 54   50 66   67 46   45 65   67
October 21, 2017 58 59.4 59 80 81.4 83 62   63 81   80 67   65 76   77 53   52 66   65
October 21, 2017 58 50.0 59 80 77.4 83 62 59.4 63 81 81.4 80 67   65 76   77 53   52 66   65
October 20, 2017 54 50.0 51 79 77.4 83 59 50.0 57 81 77.4 83 64 59.4 59 80 81.4 84 67   66 76   76
October 19, 2017 53 50.7 84 80 79.0 51 54 50.0 81 79 77.4 52 61 50.0 82 79 77.4 58 65 59.4 84 79 81.4 63
October 18, 2017 73 73.3 51 54 54.3 80 77 50.7 50 53 79.0 81 78 50.0 52 54 77.4 81 79 50.0 58 62 77.4 84
October 17, 2017 47 47.3 43 73 63.7 74 55 73.3 51 76 54.3 79 54 50.7 51 77 79.0 80 56 50.0 54 79 77.4 81
October 16, 2017 50 49.3 52 69 84.5 70 47 47.3 46 72 63.7 75 53 73.3 51 76 54.3 79 54 50.7 50 77 79.0 79
October 15, 2017 68 59.3 64 75 82.0 85 49 49.3 50 69 84.5 69 46 47.3 46 73 63.7 75 56 73.3 51 76 54.3 78
October 14, 2017 60 66.9 62 82 72.0 84 69 59.3 65 71 82.0 82 49 49.3 49 70 84.5 70 53 47.3 47 73 63.7 75
October 13, 2017 65 62.2 60 80 77.6 84 67 66.9 62 82 72.0 86 66 59.3 64 80 82.0 81 55 49.3 49 71 84.5 71
October 12, 2017 71 67.6 69 81 87.9 84 66 62.2 64 81 77.6 79 68 66.9 63 83 72.0 86 68 59.3 65 81 82.0 77
October 11, 2017 74 70.0 70 82 86.0 88 70 67.6 69 81 87.9 82 69 62.2 65 81 77.6 82 67 66.9 65 82 72.0 85
October 10, 2017 75 73.4 73 84 82.2 88 72 70.0 70 82 86.0 88 70 67.6 68 80 87.9 84 67 62.2 67 81 77.6 83
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 5 5 2 4 6 2 5 3 6 4 2 1 4 3 1
% Succ 38.5   38.5 38.5   15.4 33.3   50.0 16.7   41.7 27.3   54.5 36.4   18.2 10.0   40.0 30.0   10.0
Ave Error 3.4   6.7 4.9   9.6 6.6   6.7 9.4   9.1 7.8   6.4 8.9   9.1 8.6   7.3 8.0   10.1
Net Error 2.0   1.4 -0.5   2.4 3.4   1.8 -1.3   1.1 3.8   1.3 -0.4   2.1 5.2   2.2 1.2   2.7
Std Dev 2.9   9.6 4.5   8.6 8.1   9.4 8.4   9.2 9.0   10.4 8.8   8.7 9.2   9.2 7.8   9.0